The Heat Pump Tax Credit Expired — Now What? (2026)
The short version: the federal heat-pump credit is gone. The 25C Energy Efficient Home Improvement Credit — 30% of the installed cost back at tax time, up to $2,000 a year for heat pumps — ended for any system placed in service after December 31, 2025, terminated by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (P.L. 119-21, signed July 4, 2025). A 2025 install can still be claimed this filing season; a 2026 install gets $0 federal. Here's what the credit was worth, the one date that decides, and what still pays in 2026.
What the credit was worth
25C returned 30% of a project's installed cost, with caps per category per year: $2,000 for heat pumps (shared with heat-pump water heaters and biomass stoves), plus a separate $1,200 annual bucket with $600 caps apiece for a high-efficiency central AC, a furnace or boiler, or an electrical panel upgrade, along with insulation, windows, and doors.
For whole-home heat pumps, the cap did the talking. Thirty percent hits $2,000 at just $6,667 of project cost — and even the low end of our reference install (a 4-ton ducted heat pump on a 2,000 sq ft home, $7,750–$16,000) clears that. So in practice nearly every whole-home heat pump earned the flat $2,000: the mid-range $11,350 job netted out to $9,350 in 2025 and costs the full $11,350 today. Rewiring America's 25C guide keeps the qualification details for anyone still claiming a 2025 install.
The timeline: created, supercharged, terminated
- Through 2022 — the old 25C was modest: 10% back with a $500 lifetime cap, exhausted after one project.
- August 16, 2022 — the Inflation Reduction Act reboots it: 30%, annual instead of lifetime caps, effective January 1, 2023 and written to run through 2032.
- July 4, 2025 — OBBBA (P.L. 119-21) is signed and terminates 25C for property placed in service after December 31, 2025 — seven years ahead of schedule. The same law ends 25D, the 30% residential solar credit, on the same date.
- December 31, 2025 — the last day a system could be placed in service and still qualify.
- Spring 2026 — 2025 installs claim the credit on Form 5695 with the 2025 return. After that, the program is history.
Solar homeowners are living the identical story one meter over — our interactive map of what losing the 30% credit did to solar payback in every state is the companion piece to this page.
"Placed in service" — the date that decides
The statute doesn't care when you signed, paid, or took delivery; it cares when the system was installed and operational. A heat pump sitting crated in the garage on New Year's Eve earns nothing. One commissioned December 30 qualifies in full — even with the invoice unpaid. That's why installers spent late 2025 racing commissioning visits, and why a January 2, 2026 startup date is worth $0 despite a 2025 contract.
If yours made the cutoff, claim it on IRS Form 5695 with your 2025 federal return. Two mechanics to get right: for equipment installed in 2025 the return also asks for the manufacturer's product identification number (the qualified-manufacturer PIN rule — your installer or the manufacturer's site can supply it), and the credit is nonrefundable with no carryforward — it can offset your 2025 tax bill, but any excess simply evaporates, unlike the old solar credit's carryover.
What survives in 2026
The federal credit was one layer of a stack, and the rest of the stack is still standing. The IRA's rebate programs are funded separately and run by state energy offices, so OBBBA didn't touch them — though rollout varies: some states are fully live, others are waitlisted or between funding rounds.
| Program | What it pays in 2026 | Where to check |
|---|---|---|
| HEAR (Home Electrification & Appliance Rebates) | Up to $8,000 off a qualifying heat pump, as a point-of-sale discount — income-qualified (full rebate below ~80% of area median income, partial up to 150%) | Your state energy office |
| HOMES (Home Efficiency Rebates) | Pays for whole-home retrofits based on the energy savings achieved; larger amounts at qualifying incomes | Your state energy office |
| Utility rebates | Per-unit heat-pump, smart-thermostat, and panel incentives, usually with no income test — varies by utility | Your electric utility |
| State credits & rebates | Several states run their own tax credits or rebate programs, unaffected by OBBBA | DSIRE database |
| Financing | 0% or low-APR efficiency loans through utilities, states, and manufacturers | Your installer + utility |
How to buy a heat pump in 2026
- Check HEAR eligibility before you sign. The rebate is reserved through your state's program and its participating contractors — it's a paperwork step before install, not a receipt you mail in afterward.
- Negotiate like the credit's gone, because it is. The expiry is effectively a $2,000 price increase, installers lost their best closing line, and the 2025 rush pulled demand forward — a slower 2026 book is your leverage. Get three bids.
- Don't accept "it still qualifies for the federal credit." That's only true for systems placed in service by December 31, 2025. In 2026 it's a red flag on the whole bid.
- Stack what's left. A HEAR rebate, a utility incentive, and 0% financing on one project is real money — sometimes more than 25C ever was for income-qualified households.
- Pick the system on its own economics. Without the federal thumb on the scale it's a pure cost comparison, and the heat pump usually still wins the install — the head-to-head is in heat pump vs. furnace + AC, with full pricing in the HVAC replacement cost guide.
Get your number
Every figure on this page is 2026 list price — no credit baked in, because there isn't one. Price your own home's system the same way: square footage, climate, system type, ducts, and state, with every line item shown.
Estimate HVAC replacement cost by system type — heat pump, AC + furnace, or ductless mini-split — sized Manual-J-style from your square footage, climate, and ductwork.
Estimate my cost →Frequently asked questions
- Can I still claim the heat pump tax credit?
- Only if the system was placed in service — installed and operational — by December 31, 2025. If so, claim 30% of the cost, up to $2,000, on IRS Form 5695 with your 2025 federal return. The credit is nonrefundable and has no carryforward, so it's limited to your 2025 tax liability. Anything placed in service in 2026 or later gets no federal credit.
- Is the 25C credit coming back?
- There is no scheduled revival. OBBBA wrote the termination into the statute — the credit simply doesn't apply to property placed in service after December 31, 2025 — so bringing it back would take a new act of Congress. Plan your 2026 purchase around $0 federal, and treat any restoration as upside.
- What's the difference between HEAR and HOMES rebates?
- Both are IRA-funded and run by state energy offices, and both survived 25C's expiry. HEAR (Home Electrification and Appliance Rebates) is a point-of-sale discount on specific electric equipment — up to $8,000 for a qualifying heat pump — and is income-qualified. HOMES (Home Efficiency Rebates) pays for whole-home retrofits based on the energy savings the project achieves, regardless of which equipment delivers them.
- Do state and utility incentives still exist in 2026?
- Yes. OBBBA ended the federal 25C and 25D credits but didn't touch state programs, utility rebates, or financing. Many states run their own credits or rebates, most utilities pay heat-pump and smart-thermostat incentives, and 0% or low-APR efficiency loans persist. The DSIRE database and your state energy office are the two places to check.
- Does losing the credit change which system I should buy?
- Less than you'd think. The credit was a $2,000 thumb on the scale for heat pumps (versus $600 caps for an AC or furnace), but a ducted heat pump usually wins the install price on its own — about $7,750–$16,000 on a typical 2,000 sq ft home versus $10,350–$20,200 for an AC + furnace pair. If you qualify for a state HEAR rebate, the scale tips electric again.
HVAC Replacement Cost by State (2026)
A 2,000 sq ft ducted heat pump runs ~$9,045 in Kentucky to ~$19,251 in Hawaii installed in 2026 — labor and climate-zone load, not equipment, drive the 2× gap.
Updated July 11, 2026
How it worksWhat Size HVAC Do I Need? Tons, BTUs & Sizing (2026)
Size it with one formula: conditioned sq ft × 20–30 BTU (cooling, by climate) ÷ 12,000 = tons. A 2,000 sq ft mixed-climate home needs about 4 tons and a 100k BTU furnace. Climate factors, envelope adjustments, and the math shown.
Updated July 10, 2026
System comparisonsSEER2, AFUE & HSPF2 Explained — Is High-Efficiency Worth It in 2026?
SEER2 rates cooling, HSPF2 rates heat-pump heating, AFUE rates a furnace — decoded in plain English, with the payback math at 17¢/kWh. High-efficiency adds 18–40% to equipment cost; here's which climates earn it back now that the 25C credit is gone.
Updated July 10, 2026
A ballpark estimate for planning — not a final quote. HVAC data last updated July 10, 2026.